C I T I Z E N I N T E L L I G E N C E A R C H I V E
CIA-HOUSE-001: Where AIPAC's House
Money Went
House Series, Model No. 1 | October 2026 | Money Test model, not a race file
THE SHORT VERSION: AIPAC and its super PAC spent about $104 million this
election cycle. In the House, most of that money went into primaries, not November
races. A lot of it went through new, hidden-name groups. This file shows where it went
and who won.
$104.3M
AIPAC PAC + United Democracy Project (UDP), whole 2026 cycle (Sludge, Aug 2026)
How the money moves
STEP
WHAT HAPPENS
1. Big
donors
UDP's biggest 2026 donors include Paul Singer, Blair Frank, Marc Rowan and Haim Saban
(FactCheck.org).
2. UDP
UDP raised about $104M through June and had spent about $52.5M by June 30.
3. New
groups
Politico reported UDP hid more than 40% of its primary spending behind pop-up and pass-
through PACs. Voters see a new name on the ad, not "AIPAC."
4. The
race
Ads run for or against a candidate, mostly in Democratic primaries in safe seats.
The races
RACE
MONEY
WHO IT WAS FOR / AGAINST
RESULT
Michigan Senate
(primary)
$30.6M+ (UDP)
For Haley Stevens, against Abdul El-
Sayed. The most AIPAC has ever
spent on one race.
El-Sayed won the
nomination. Stevens lost.
IL-9 (primary)
$5.8M+
For Laura Fine. Another group spent
$1.2M in a race involving Bushra
Amiwala.
Fine finished third.
Daniel Biss won.
IL-7 (primary)
$5M+ (UDP)
For Melissa Conyears-Ervin
She lost to La Shawn
Ford.
IL-2 (primary)
$4.3M+
(Affordable
Chicago Now)
For Donna Miller
Won. November: vs.
Republican Michael
Scott Noack.
IL-8 (primary)
$3.9M (two new
AIPAC-tied groups)
For Melissa Bean

Won. November: vs.
Republican Jennifer
Davis.
KY-4
(Republican
primary)
$3M+ against,
~$500K for (UDP)
Against Rep. Thomas Massie, for Ed
Gallrein
Massie lost to Gallrein on
May 19.
NJ-11 (special
primary)
$2M+ (UDP)
Against Tom Malinowski
He lost to Analilia Mejia
on Feb 5.
MD-5 (primary)
$1M+ (UDP)
For Adrian Boafo
Won on June 23.
MI-11 and MO-1
Amounts not found
Described as AIPAC-backed: Jeremy
Moss (open seat) and Wesley Bell
(incumbent)
Both are the Democratic
nominees.
WHAT THE TABLE SHOWS: The AIPAC-linked side won IL-2, IL-8, MD-5 and KY-4. It
lost IL-9, IL-7 and the Michigan Senate primary. In NJ-11 the candidate UDP spent
against also lost. Mixed results, but always big money.
Money Test
CANDIDATE
FLAG
NOTE
Bean (IL-8),
Miller (IL-2)
FLAGGED
(outside
spending)
AIPAC-tied groups spent for them. This is outside spending, not a
donation to their campaigns. The CIA framework treats it as a
flag the voter should see. Their direct AIPAC PAC donations are
PENDING.
Gallrein (KY-4)
FLAGGED
(outside
spending)
UDP spent about $500K for him and $3M+ against his opponent.
Direct donations PENDING.
Moss (MI-11),
Bell (MO-1)
PENDING
Described as AIPAC-backed by JNS. Amounts not verified.
Boafo (MD-5)
FLAGGED
(outside
spending)
$1M+ from UDP. Safe Democratic seat.
ARCHITECT ANALYSIS (opinion): The story is not that one group spent money. The
story is that voters often cannot tell who paid. A new group with a nice name runs an ad,
and the real source shows up in a federal filing months later. If you care who is behind a
candidate, the filing is the X-ray. Also note this: in many of these seats, the primary is the
election. Whoever wins the Democratic primary in a safe seat almost always wins in
November.
STATUS: SESSION 1 WORKING DOCUMENT. All dollar amounts come from the sources below. Not yet
verified against FEC filings. Open items: pull direct AIPAC PAC donations for each nominee; find MI-11 and
MO-1 amounts; check Sludge's full by-member list; confirm KY-4 November opponent.
Sources: Sludge (Aug 3, 2026); FactCheck.org (Aug 2026); WTTW (Mar 18, 2026); JNS; New Jersey
Monitor; Spectrum News Kentucky.

"I don't tell you how to vote. I give you the X-ray. You decide."
— Uma | PixelMagic / MindTraveler | People Over Party